dr ali binazir odds of being born. Id gladly take those odds over trying to become a millionaire in any other country. Step 4. A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull. He attended the Ted Talk and wrote about it afterward, doing his own calculations on how likely your existence is. How do you deal with a confirmed bachelor?, 9 Reasons Why Men Lose Interest and What You Can Do About It. Perhaps three years ago or just last Tuesday a certain leaf fluttered from one shoulder to another? (This is also known as "consulting" -- especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). dr ali binazir odds of being born - manoharinternational.com Who knows, maybe the ball that vanished into childhood's thicket? Lets say its a fly that moves at about 4 mph. Happiness Engineering with Dr Ali Binazir Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing. The odds of you existing have been calculated by Dr. Ali Binazir. Borels Law has since been enlisted by creationists and evolutionists alike to bolster their arguments. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. : A definitive guide for smart women, How to Get Guys: The 6.5 Dating Phases of Men. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. The likelihood that improbable events occur is controlled by the scale of the Universe. I would certainly add in (sadly) that there is the possibility of abortion or miscarriage, but even a simple analysis yields an astonishingly small probability. Why? By all accounts, you shouldnt even be here. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." Dr. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. Let's say a life preserver's hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside about 0.5 square meter. So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. The answer, if my math is right, (assuming a mass of the moon of 7.34 x 10^22 kg), is about 7.34 x 10^34 years. Wowser. Anything with a lower probability than that would not happen, said Borel the numbers man. Please pass this post along. In a recent talk at TEDx San Francisco, Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author, mentioned that scientists estimate the probability of your being born at about one in 400 trillion. And I note that it is an unladen fly that moves at about 4 mph. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. That probability is low but the presence of super-novae throughout the cosmos is not. The Nobel Prize winning poet Wislawa Szymborska once wrote about two lovers who liked to think they'd met entirely by chance, but no, she says, there was nothing chancy about it. I would caution anyone from drawing a religiously-minded conclusion from these probabilities and heres why: While the probability of any one of us existing is very low, the probability that 350 million humans existing in the United States is very high. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. It seems like wasting our precious lives on self pity or addiction is even less attractive, in this light. Are you a miracle? On the probability of being born | Dr. Ali Binazir On my birthday, I had a strangely pertinent thought: what's the probability of being born? Dr. Binazir puts it this way: "It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is one in 400 quadrillion. In a 2011 HuffPost article, he set about calculating the likelihood of each of us being born. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. or one in 6.821014, or about 1 in 700 trillion. So I got curious: Are either of these estimates correct? Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 102,685,000. The chances of them talking to one another is 1 in 10. The great mystery of our existence stretches back in time into the very heart and mind of God who has always known and loved us, has prepared for us and made a way for us. Get ready to have your socks blown off, ya beautiful miracle, you. Now things start getting interesting. We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. If there is only one outcome then the probability is 1/1=1. Thank you, Monsignor. They look like this , or this, and have to be avoided at all costs. Lets say the fly takes a brief respite of one million years between trips. The numbers are getting plenty huge as it is. The following analysis, paraphrased at some points, is taken directly from Mr. Binazirs article: The probability of father meeting mother is 1 in 20,000. Maybe that one would have been better. And worry and fear? What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, The answer is five hundred bazillion squintillion, we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. The good news is that the fee is only $10 per class 10-20x cheaper than therapy, and probably more effective. Multply the volume of New Jerusalem by 77. You have lived your life. Pretty darn close, for such an unusual calculation. So the probability of your parents chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same numberfor example, 550,343,279,001., A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. (Just dont blow up your car trying to have the exhaust be blue smoke like I saw on that viral video, or set any forests on fire, lets keep it safe, kids.). Or is it much too early in the week, this being only Monday, for thinking about stuff like this? Suitcases checked and standing side by side. To that, we could add the probability that the one sperm and the one egg met one another because she wasnt in the mood, but lets not split hairs here. The chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is 1 in 2. Want to Read. 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. The following analysis, paraphrased at some points, is taken directly from Mr. Binazir's article: The probability of father meeting mother is 1 in 20,000. On one try. Astronomers estimate that there are at least 100 billion galaxies in the observable Universe. One night, perhaps, the same dream, grown hazy by morning. Well then, that would be one in 2150,000 , which is about 1 in 1045,000 a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe -- it's larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. Regardless of your skin color, country of origin, body size, religion, gender, or view point, WE ALREADY MADE IT HERE. By that definition, Ive just shown that you are a miracle, he wrote. Well then, that would be one in 2 , which is about one in 10 -- a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. mitchell henry obituary; housing authority rome, ga; tom brady personality traits; can you drive from glacier national park to banff; why did they replace bertha in fred Click the image to enlarge it and check their numbers: Of course, there are poets who argue exactly the opposite: that each of us is fated to exist, that there is a plan, and that all of us are expected. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. God has always known us, intended us, loved us, and planned for us. Dr Ali Binazir, Contributor Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing Jun 16, 2011, 03:58 PM EDT | Updated Aug 16, 2011 This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. The question is, how long will it take for the fly to bring the entire moon back to the earth? A rational approach acknowledges that incredibly low probabilities is not the same as zero probability. saving. The Odds of You Being You - linkedin.com Popes point: that we are not accidents, that God chose to create you and [me]. No need for caution about drawing any conclusion other that the one he quite explicitly drew. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001. Learn more here: Dr. Ali Binazirs Article on Probability of Being Born. The probability of this happening is 635,013,559,600 to one against. He concluded that the chances of a turtle sticking its head out in the middle of the life preserver was about one in 700 trillion. But Im not mathy. By entering your email and clicking Sign Up, you're agreeing to let us send you customized marketing messages about us and our advertising partners. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 341 million km (131.6 million square miles). One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? To illustrate how precious each human being is, self-help author Mel Robbins said during a 2011 Ted Talk that the likelihood of you being born as you has been calculated at about one in 400 trillion. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000. -- from "Love at First Sight", Wislawa Szymborska, The End and The Beginning, 1993. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 3.409108 square kilometers, or 340,900,000 km2 (131.6 million square miles, for those benighted souls who still cling to user-hostile British measures). Fortunately, just such a person is poised at the keyboard right now, so lets get started. Ali Binazir | Armchair Economist 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. Based on the data from the CDC . Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. So the combined probability is already around one in 40 million -- long but not insurmountable odds. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. And to get even more woo-woo, I believe we each have a team of ancestors, Spirit Guides and Angels looking after us who love us so much. Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at Harvard, received a medical degree from the University of California, and studied philosophy at Cambridge University. I would not exist if my parents had not existed and then met. Heres how the National Center for Science Education puts it: Any event with a probability greater than 0, no matter how low, will be likely to happen if given enough opportunity, and sure to happen if opportunity is unlimited., Michele Caballero Siamitras Kassube on Pixabay. The chances of that turning into another meeting is about 1 in 10. He was a funny guy. Ty Webb, Caddyshack, which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have. Or stalk me (with love.). Has anybody ever said to you Youre one in a million? Your email address will not be published. If I had 400 trillion pennies to my name, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. Its the probability of 2 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Not only are you and I contingent, we are highly improbable! Lets say we have a insect thatmirabile dictuwe can send to the moon. It is approximately 1 in 102,685,000 according to Dr. Ali Binazir, in a publication distributed by Huffington Post. For a more thorough discussion of this topic, visit the Tao of Dating and Awaken Your Genius blogs. Now things start getting interesting. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in two. But, despite your being an extremely wonderful person, such a statement is wildly inaccurate. Dr. Ali Binazir - Author - San Francisco, CA | YourTango Experts Lets confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10 of the worlds population twenty years go (one tenth of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. The moon is about 240,000 miles from the Earth. (This is also known as consulting especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). Dr. Ali Binazir, Happiness Engineer | Modern Science and Ancient Wisdom On the Probability of Your Being Born.. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? The perfect deal in bridge is that each player receives all the cards in one suit. HubPages is a registered trademark of The Arena Platform, Inc. Other product and company names shown may be trademarks of their respective owners. As a comparison, the approximate number of atoms in the known universe is 10. Why? Opportunity - livebendy.com If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. The fact is, you have a monumentally better chance of becoming anybody you want to be than of even being at all. Harvard alumnus and creativity consultant Dr. Ali Binazir tried to calculate the mind-boggling odds of one being born into existence on earth, and came up with interesting results. Sean said that we have already won the cosmic lottery simply by being born because the odds of that happening alone is one in a gazillion times. Step 4. Something was dropped and then picked up. Osterholm is one of the world's foremost public health professionals, having served for 40 years on the frontlines of such diseases as Ebola, SARS, MERS, Zika and everything else. I was alerted to a fascinating article by Ali Binazir, who sets forth mathematically the probably that each of us exists. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents, too. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. In it, she mentioned that scientists calculate the probability of your existing as you, today, at about one in 400 trillion (41014). I have one baby so far, but Im still fertile, according to science. You Are a Miracle, 1 in 400 Quadrillion or more - LinkedIn Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing. Fortunes were lost as players bet huge amounts on red in the erroneous belief that the law of probabilities dictated the ball would not drop on black again. Then the probability of Mr. Thats a pretty big number, I thought to myself. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 1 in 2. He looked at the amount of water in the oceans, compared to the size of a life-preserver. I have over 2,000 posts here & my recovery related blogs are all under the RecovHer category at the top. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? Consider some of the contingencies and requirements for your existence as set forth by Mr. Binazir. Are You a Miracle? Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 -- one in two. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001." What it Took For You to Exist On one try. The learned Frenchman put a number on it10 to the power of 50, written as 1050in order to impress upon the common herd that its members are not mathematicians. Not only has He always known us; he has known everything each of us would do, for every one of our days has been written in His book before one of them ever came to be. To further awaken to the miracle that is you, get The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible, now available in book, ebook, Kindle, audiobook, and Sinai indestructible stone tablet. You are, He Will Come Like a Thief to Take Back What Is His, Flee to the Truth When Tempted A Homily for the First Sunday of Lent, Ash Wednesday Breaks All the Rules of Modern Churchthink. Visions in Lent: Family Life As a Seen in a Rock Tumbler. Some of the numbers are approximations, but generally they are on the conservative side. As Borel pointed out such an event was so improbable as to be impossible. Dr Ali Binazir is the author of the 'The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible', the highest-rated dating book on Amazon.co. If we really took it in we would fall on our knees with rapture and tears of gratitude. 2019 Ali Binazir, M.D., M.Phil, All Rights Reserved. Go crazy with those celebrations, new parents to be. The only know outcome is that you were born to your particular parents. Moreover, the second shot would not necessary run into the red. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Even if they couldn't read them yet. Thats a pretty straightforward calculation. If one square kilometer is a million square meters, then the probability of Mr Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or. Be True to YOU (there is no one else like you, if there was they would have been born and not you), Odds of Being Born Infographic by Designer Sofya Yampolsky. Are You Totally Improbable Or Totally Inevitable? Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: one in 400 quadrillion. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. I recently got to wondering: What are the chances that my son was born? You are also agreeing to our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. If the first shot fall into the black hole, it remains only the red, and not green or blue. Are you a miracle? On the probability of being born | Dr. Ali Binazir dr ali binazir odds of being born. enough to delve into higher mathematics discover there are many tripwires ahead of them. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: one in 2000. whump prompts generator > mecklenburg county, va indictments 2021 > dr ali binazir odds of being born. "It is a part of probability that many improbable things will happen..
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